The Memorial Day is upon us and with that the official
kick-off to the Summer season. For those who wonder where the
"precious" is going this Summer, let's look at the seasonal patterns
for this time of the year. Gold has a tendency to repeat seasonal patterns with
an uncanny regularity. It tends to bottom in June/July and stage a decent rally
into September. That's the good news. The bad news is that May is usually a
weak month for the metal, and the current consolidation is likely to resolve
downwards. To illustrate that I've got
two charts to show.
The top chart is the summer 2012 the bottom 2014.
Admittedly, I allowed myself for some free-hand drawing on
the second picture just to make the point clear.
Longer-term gold appears to be still in a bear market, and the target for the bottom in December 2016 remains unchanged.
As always, more charts in my stockcharts public list.